# History Future Now ## https://www.historyfuturenow.com Data-driven analysis of the structural forces — demographic, technological, economic — that will shape the next century. Author: Tristan Fischer Total articles: 84 ## Sections ### Natural Resources (14 articles) - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/natural-resources - Energy, food, water, land — the physical foundations that every civilisation depends on. ### Global Balance of Power (16 articles) - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/balance-of-power - How nations rise, compete, and decline — from colonial empires to modern China. ### Jobs & Economy (18 articles) - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/jobs-economy - Automation, trade, debt, and the future of work in an age of intelligent machines. ### Society (36 articles) - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/society - Democracy, religion, migration, identity — the human systems that bind us together. ## Articles ### A Frozen Society: The Long Term Implications Of NSA’s Secrets - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/a-frozen-society-the-long-term-implications-of-nsas-secrets - Section: Society - Published: 2013-09-01 - Reading time: 3 min - History Future Now has been considering the historical and future implications of the NSA files that have been leaked bit by bit by Edward Snowden over the past few months. History Future Now is very ### A Lost Generation: Why The Personal Story Of The Beautiful Yulia Is Also Our Story - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/a-lost-generation-why-the-personal-story-of-the-beautiful-yulia-is-also-our-story - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2013-08-01 - Reading time: 13 min - Many years ago HFN spent a wonderful day in the company of a beautiful Russian woman. She had a warm smile and long legs that never seemed to stop. She was also very smart and had a master’s degree in ### A Nation Transformed: Britain's Demographic Revolution, 1948–2050 [6 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/a-nation-transformed-britains-demographic-revolution-1948-2050 - Section: Society - Published: 2026-03-10 - Reading time: 13 min - Britain has undergone one of the most rapid peacetime demographic transformations in European history. It was not planned. It emerged from a sequence of policy decisions — and its long-term trajectory ### Are Europeans Fundamentally Racist? - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/are-europeans-fundamentally-racist - Section: Society - Published: 2014-02-01 - Reading time: 18 min - Switzerland has a unique form of democracy which allows for referendums to be held on any issue so long as the proponents gather a minimum of 100,000 certified signatures supporting the referendum. Th ### Big European Electricity Utilities Are Facing An Existential Crisis. How Did This Happen And What Should They Do? [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/big-european-electricity-utilities-are-facing-an-existential-crisis-how-did-this-happen-and-what-should-they-do - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2018-06-01 - Reading time: 13 min - For most consumers, the revolution that is taking place in the energy markets has been hidden from view. They still get reliable electricity from the grid, with which to power their homes and business ### Cassandra: Time To Give Up On Predicting Climate Change? - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/cassandra-time-to-give-up-on-predicting-climate-change - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2012-06-15 - Reading time: 4 min - Most History Future Now readers will be familiar with Homer’s epic of the Iliad, written about 2,800 years ago. Few will have actually read the poem, most will have a vague idea about the plot and man ### China Has Many Of The Characteristics Of An Emerging Colonial Power. How Does It Compare Historically? [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/china-has-many-of-the-characteristics-of-an-emerging-colonial-power-how-does-it-compare-historically - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2014-11-01 - Reading time: 9 min - History Future Now had dinner a few years back with two Kenyans of Indian origin. Indian-Kenyans make up less than 1% of the country’s 43 million people, but apparently account for 70-80% of the count ### Clash Of Titans: How The Warrior Ethos And Judeo-Christian Monotheism Shaped The Soul Of The West - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/clash-of-titans-how-the-warrior-ethos-and-judeo-christian-monotheism-shaped-the-soul-of-the-west - Section: Society - Published: 2015-09-01 - Reading time: 51 min - The history of Western civilization is often told as a grand narrative of progress, a triumphant march from ancient wisdom to modern enlightenment. But beneath this conventional story lies a deeper an ### Crisis: Or An Explanation On The Origins Of The Decline Of The West [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/crisis-or-an-explanation-on-the-origins-of-the-decline-of-the-west - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2013-05-01 - Reading time: 38 min - Christopher Marlowe’s play Doctor Faustus was written in 1592 and was based on an earlier German work about Dr Faustus, a talented German scholar at Wittenburg University who was frustrated by the lim ### Dealing With The Consequences Of Climate Change Inaction: The Impact Of Food [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/dealing-with-the-consequences-of-climate-chance-inaction-the-impact-of-food - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2016-03-01 - Reading time: 7 min - In a previous article History Future Now admitted defeat: climate change is happening and there is no viable political solution which will enable us to stop it from getting worse. Global average tempe ### Debt Jubilees And Hyperinflation – Why History Shows That This Might Be The Way Forward For Us All [6 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/debt-jubilees-and-hyperinflation-why-history-shows-that-this-might-be-the-way-forward-for-us-all - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2013-11-01 - Reading time: 6 min - Government debt levels in the United States, the European Union and in Japan are at all time historic highs. After decades of borrowing money to pay for regular annual expenditure and frequent militar ### Don't Confuse What Is Legal With What Is Morally Right - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/dont-confuse-what-is-legal-with-what-is-morally-right - Section: Society - Published: 2012-10-01 - Reading time: 4 min - Most people think of themselves as being “law abiding” citizens. People admonish those that break the law and feel that it is reasonable that transgressors should pay the consequences of crime. Broadl ### Emigration: Colonies Of The Mind And Space - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/emigration-colonies-of-the-mind-and-space - Section: Society - Published: 2013-04-01 - Reading time: 6 min - Ever since our ancient ancestors walked out of Africa between 125,000 and 60,000 years ago humans have pushed themselves to explore and to emigrate to territories that would have been almost impossibl ### Establishing A Price Floor For Energy [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/establishing-a-price-floor-for-energy - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2015-06-01 - Reading time: 9 min - Capitalism is a wonderful system for providing pricing signals to businesses to produce more or less of a particular product. If demand for the new iPad mini is strong, Apple will order its suppliers ### Europe Rearms: Why The Continent That Invented Total War Is Spending €800 Billion On Defence [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/europe-rearms-why-the-continent-that-invented-total-war-is-spending-800-billion-on-defence - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2026-02-26 - Reading time: 18 min - In 1932, Germany spent less than 1% of GDP on its military. By 1939, that figure was 23%. The transformation took just seven years. Today, Europe is embarking on the fastest rearmament since the Cold ### Forging Peace: From Centuries of War to Ukraine's Future - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/forging-peace-from-centuries-of-war-to-ukraines-future - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2022-04-01 - Reading time: 12 min - For centuries, war has been a brutal constant in human affairs, with nations locked in cycles of conquest and revenge that have left countless lives shattered. Yet even from the ashes of the most deva ### From Basement Servers to Billion Users: What Software Learned That Hardware Hasn't [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/from-basement-servers-to-billion-users-what-software-learned-that-hardware-hasnt - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2026-05-22 - Reading time: 11 min - In 2000, launching a technology company meant spending a fortune on servers before writing a line of code. By 2014, a small team could serve hundreds of millions of users from rented infrastructure. S ### Green Is Not Red, But Blue: Environmentalism And The Mystery Of Right Wing Opposition [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/green-is-not-red-but-blue-environmentalism-and-the-mystery-of-right-wing-opposition - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2011-03-15 - Reading time: 6 min - Conservatives are rightly suspicious of environmentalists. By 1992, with Reagan, Thatcher and the end of the Cold War, socialism and left wing thinking appeared to be dead. Conservatism was triumphant ### Hinkley Point Decision Is Really About China And Brexit [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/hinkley-point-decision-is-really-about-china-and-brexit - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2016-09-01 - Reading time: 10 min - Much ink has been spilled about why Prime Minister May’s new Conservative government should not have approved the £18bn Hinkley Point nuclear power station that is to be built by EDF, from France, wit ### History Is Written By The Winners. And Europeans Are Losing. [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/history-is-written-by-the-winners-and-europeans-are-losing - Section: Society - Published: 2017-04-01 - Reading time: 6 min - There are a lot of people to whom the quote "history is written by the winners" is attributed to. Winston Churchill frequently pops up in the context of a discussion that he had with Stalin on how the ### Is Democracy The Opium Of The Masses? - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/is-democracy-the-opium-of-the-masses - Section: Society - Published: 2014-08-01 - Reading time: 3 min - Winston Churchill famously quipped that “Democracy is the worst form of government except for all the others that have been tried.” With this statement he was expressing a view that many share: yes, d ### Jobs: First, Get Rid Of Expensive Westerners. Second, Get Rid Of People Entirely [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/jobs-first-get-rid-of-expensive-westerners-second-get-rid-of-people-entirely - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2013-07-01 - Reading time: 9 min - Why do so many Western politicians and economists promote a trading system that increases Western unemployment levels and results in a gigantic transfer of wealth to the East every year? ### Keynes And Hayek Are Both Dead, And Wrong [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/keynes-and-hayek-are-both-dead-and-wrong - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2012-03-01 - Reading time: 14 min - Despite the fact that both John Maynard Keynes and Friedrich August Hayek are dead, their ideas are very much alive today and form the basis of whether governments choose austerity or stimulus as a wa ### Let's Talk About Sex: Does The Separation Of Pleasure And Procreation Mean The End Of People? [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/lets-talk-about-sex-does-the-separation-of-pleasure-and-procreation-mean-the-end-of-people - Section: Society - Published: 2014-10-01 - Reading time: 10 min - Everybody knows that the world’s population has increased dramatically since 1930 – population 2 billion – to today – population 7.7. Most people also know that the fertility rate of women in most of ### The Fusion of Revolutionary Technologies: Unlocking Humanity's Greatest Transformation [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/platform-technologies-how-foundational-technologies-of-the-past-show-us-the-foundational-technologies-of-the-future - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2024-03-01 - Reading time: 9 min - Individual technologies are interesting. Convergences are civilisational. Steam, iron, and canal engineering fused into railways. Electricity, motors, and mass production created the assembly line. To ### Prisons: We Never Used To Have Them. Will They Exist In The Future? - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/prisons-we-never-used-to-have-them-will-they-exist-in-the-future - Section: Society - Published: 2013-06-01 - Reading time: 3 min - Prisons as we know them are relatively new and we can thank Jeremy Bentham’s philosophy of utilitarianism in the 19th century for the first modern prisons. Previously people had been locked up, in jai ### Robotics And Slavery [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/robotics-and-slavery - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2024-04-01 - Reading time: 27 min - Rapid advancements in humanoid robotics and artificial intelligence are bringing us closer to a reality once confined to the realm of science fiction. ### Rome Vs. Persia And The Transfer Of Strategic Technologies To China - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/rome-vs-persia-and-the-transfer-of-strategic-technologies-to-china - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2012-10-15 - Reading time: 5 min - China is a master at forcing western companies to hand over critical intellectual property in exchange for short term access to the Chinese market. History Future Now asks what are the lessons that ca ### Roots: A Historical Understanding Of Climate Change Denial, Creationism And Slavery – 1629-1775 [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/roots-a-historical-understanding-of-climate-change-denial-creationism-and-slavery-1629-1775 - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2012-12-01 - Reading time: 10 min - What do black slavery, creationism and climate change denial all have in common? In the US, at least, a biblical justification and a fascinating geographic overlap. We look at the issues and then try ### The 150 Year Life: How Radical Longevity Will Transform Our World [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-150-year-life-how-radical-longevity-will-transform-our-world - Section: Society - Published: 2024-06-01 - Reading time: 14 min - In the quest for immortality, humanity has long dreamed of extending the boundaries of life beyond the confines of our current existence. The tantalizing prospect of living to 150 years or more has ca ### The Arsenal and the Container: How Shared Infrastructure Always Wins [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-arsenal-and-the-container-how-shared-infrastructure-always-wins - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2026-05-20 - Reading time: 14 min - Every era produces the same pattern: fragmented, bespoke, expensive production transformed by shared infrastructure that democratises access to speed and scale. Venice's Arsenale, the Springfield Armo ### The Atom Returns: Why the World's Most Feared Energy Source Is Its Best Hope [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-atom-returns-why-the-worlds-most-feared-energy-source-is-its-best-hope - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2026-03-17 - Reading time: 10 min - Microsoft signed a deal to restart Three Mile Island for AI power. France generates 70% of its electricity from nuclear at half Germany's carbon intensity. China is building 150 reactors. The atom is ### The Builders Are Dying: How the Populations That Made the Modern World Are Disappearing — And What Happens Next [11 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-builders-are-dying-how-the-populations-that-made-the-modern-world-are-disappearing - Section: Society - Published: 2026-03-01 - Reading time: 16 min - Between them, European and East Asian civilisations built virtually everything that defines the modern world — the scientific method, industrial manufacturing, semiconductors, the internet, modern med ### The Death Of The Fourth Estate: What The Collapse Of Newspapers Means For Democracy, Power, And Truth [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-death-of-the-fourth-estate-what-the-collapse-of-newspapers-means-for-democracy-power-and-truth - Section: Society - Published: 2026-02-22 - Reading time: 20 min - On February 4th 2026, a Washington Post reporter in a warzone in Ukraine learned by text message that she had been laid off. Nearly half the newsroom was gone in a single day. This is not just a story ### The Debasement: Why Every Great Power That Borrowed Its Way to Greatness Borrowed Its Way to Ruin [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-debasement-why-every-great-power-that-borrowed-its-way-to-greatness-borrowed-its-way-to-ruin - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2026-03-20 - Reading time: 11 min - The US spent more on interest payments than on defence in 2024 for the first time in history. Spain defaulted six times between 1557 and 1647. France's debt triggered the Revolution. The pattern is al ### The Eighteen-Month Trap: Why Hardware Startups Are Structurally Slow [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-eighteen-month-trap-why-hardware-startups-are-structurally-slow - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2026-05-17 - Reading time: 13 min - A software founder builds one thing. A hardware founder builds two — the product and the entire infrastructure to make it. That structural double burden, not bad management, is why hardware startups t ### The Empty Cradle Bargain: Why Falling Birth Rates Are Everyone's Problem [7 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-empty-cradle-bargain-why-your-decision-not-to-have-children-is-everyones-problem - Section: Society - Published: 2026-02-05 - Reading time: 21 min - On a single street in a Western city, five families have one child and two have two. That is nine children where fifteen are needed. Some chose this. Some wanted children and ran out of time. The barr ### The Empty Throne: Why the West No Longer Believes in Its Own Institutions [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-empty-throne-why-the-west-no-longer-believes-in-its-own-institutions - Section: Society - Published: 2026-03-28 - Reading time: 15 min - Trust in government, media, science, and the judiciary is at historic lows across the Western world. This is not a passing mood. It is the rational response of electorates who have watched their democ ### The Fifteen-Minute Factory: Why Proximity Still Wins [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-fifteen-minute-factory-why-proximity-still-wins - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2026-05-15 - Reading time: 13 min - Innovation has always clustered where the distance between thinking and making approaches zero. From Florence's silk workshops to Shenzhen's electronics bazaars, the pattern is invariant: compress the ### The Gates of Nations: How Every Civilisation in History Controlled Immigration — Until the West Stopped [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-gates-of-nations-how-every-civilisation-in-history-controlled-immigration-until-the-west-stopped - Section: Society - Published: 2026-03-04 - Reading time: 13 min - For five thousand years, every successful civilisation tightly controlled who could enter, settle, and become a citizen. Then, in the space of a single generation, the West decided this was bigotry. T ### The Great Divergence: Why Young Men and Women No Longer See the Same World [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-great-divergence-why-young-men-and-women-no-longer-see-the-same-world - Section: Society - Published: 2026-04-01 - Reading time: 10 min - Young women have moved sharply more liberal across the developed world. Young men have not — or have moved more conservative. The gap is historically unprecedented. The political and demographic conse ### The Great Emptying: How Collapsing Birth Rates Will Reshape Power, Politics And People [12 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-great-emptying-how-collapsing-birth-rates-will-reshape-power-politics-and-people - Section: Society - Published: 2026-02-03 - Reading time: 12 min - In a small town in southern Italy, a school closed last year. Not because of budget cuts. Because there were no children left. That empty classroom is the future of the developed world. No country in ### The Great Offshoring: How the World's Factory Moved East [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-great-offshoring-how-the-worlds-factory-moved-east - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2026-03-14 - Reading time: 13 min - In a single generation, the West gave away the industrial monopoly it had held for two centuries. From the rust belts of the Midlands to the boomtowns of Guangdong, this is the story of the Great Offs ### The immorality of climate change, a reflection on slavery and the Civil War - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-immorality-of-climate-change-a-reflection-on-slavery-and-the-civil-war - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2012-04-15 - Reading time: 5 min - Today, few people look back upon African slavery in the Americas as a good thing. There are no rousing speeches defending slave owners rights over their property, or demands not just to maintain the i ### The Invisible Judge: Why Guilt and Shame Societies Are Incompatible [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-invisible-judge-why-guilt-and-shame-societies-are-incompatible - Section: Society - Published: 2026-04-21 - Reading time: 11 min - Guilt societies are ruled by an internal judge; shame societies by the eye of the crowd. The difference shapes corruption, rule of law, and how civilisations understand each other — when they meet, th ### The Ladder and the Lie: Why Every Great Economy Was Built on Tariffs and Free Trade Only Serves the Already Dominant [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-ladder-and-the-lie-why-every-great-economy-was-built-on-tariffs-and-free-trade-only-serves-the-already-dominant - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2026-04-24 - Reading time: 12 min - Every great economy in history was built behind tariff walls. Britain, America, Germany, Japan, South Korea, China — all protected domestic industry while it grew, then preached free trade once domina ### The Last Drop: Why Every Civilisation That Ran Out of Water Collapsed [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-last-drop-why-every-civilisation-that-ran-out-of-water-collapsed - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2026-04-04 - Reading time: 10 min - Water is the one resource for which there is no substitute. Every major civilisation was built on water management — Mesopotamia's canals, Egypt's Nile, Rome's aqueducts. And every civilisation that l ### The Locked Gate: How the West Priced Its Children Out of Existence [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-locked-gate-how-the-west-priced-its-children-out-of-existence - Section: Society - Published: 2026-04-07 - Reading time: 10 min - The average house in England costs 7.7 times the median salary. In Seoul, a young couple saves for 18 years to buy a flat. Every city with extreme housing costs has a fertility rate below 1.5. This is ### The Long Term Impact of Covid 19 [8 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-long-term-impact-of-covid-19 - Section: Society - Published: 2020-04-01 - Reading time: 30 min - The Covid 19 pandemic is a genuinely historical event. Future historians will analyse the period leading up to the outbreak, searching for clues about why it got so bad so quickly, will then investiga ### The Narrow Lens: How What Britain Teaches Its Children Shapes How Adults See the World - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-narrow-lens-how-what-britain-teaches-its-children-shapes-how-adults-see-the-world - Section: Society - Published: 2026-05-07 - Reading time: 12 min - Britain teaches its children a remarkably narrow slice of history — the Tudors, the World Wars, and the Holocaust — and then wonders why adults reach for the same historical analogies every time. The ### The New Literacy: How AI Is Killing The Scribes And What Happens Next [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-new-literacy - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2026-03-07 - Reading time: 10 min - For five thousand years, if you could not write, you hired a scribe. If you could not code, you hired a developer. AI has just made everyone literate in the digital scribal arts — coding, design, film ### The New Oil: Why the Race for Critical Minerals Will Define the 21st Century [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-new-oil-why-the-race-for-critical-minerals-will-define-the-21st-century - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2026-04-10 - Reading time: 10 min - China banned gallium and germanium exports in 2023 and most Western policymakers had never heard of either element. The energy transition depends on minerals most people cannot name, mined in places m ### The North African Threat And Mediterranean Reunification [7 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-north-african-threat-and-mediterranean-reunification - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2012-01-15 - Reading time: 17 min - North Africa does not appear to be a military and political threat to the European Union. Why should it? In the last few years most of its countries have been convulsed by revolutions and are in disar ### The Paradox of Mass Migration and Robots in the Age of Automation [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-paradox-of-mass-migration-and-robots-in-the-age-of-automation - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2024-05-01 - Reading time: 13 min - We stand at a pivotal juncture in human history, facing two seemingly contradictory narratives about the future of work and society. On one side, we hear urgent calls for increased migration to addres ### The Perils of Prediction: Lessons from History on Navigating an Uncertain Future - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-perils-of-prediction-lessons-from-history-on-navigating-an-uncertain-future - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2023-06-01 - Reading time: 20 min - Can we truly predict the future, or are we destined to repeat the mistakes of the past? This question has captivated minds for millennia, from ancient prophets to writers like History Future Now. Desp ### The Price of Admission: What the Netherlands and Denmark Reveal About the True Cost of Immigration [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-price-of-admission-what-the-netherlands-and-denmark-reveal-about-the-true-cost-of-immigration - Section: Society - Published: 2026-04-28 - Reading time: 10 min - The Netherlands and Denmark are the two best-documented case studies on the fiscal and social costs of immigration in Europe. Both are small, wealthy, high-trust welfare states with meticulous statist ### The renewables and battery revolution. What history teaches us about the future. [9 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-renewables-and-battery-revolution - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2018-03-01 - Reading time: 25 min - The advent of cheap renewable energy and battery storage has already started to change the world. It is not an exaggeration to call this change a “revolution”. Some companies and countries will make i ### The Return of the State Factory: Why Nations That Forgot How To Make Things Are Remembering [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-return-of-the-state-factory-why-nations-that-forgot-how-to-make-things-are-remembering - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2026-02-18 - Reading time: 11 min - In February 2026, the United States signed a trade deal with Taiwan that included $250 billion in semiconductor investment pledges. Tariffs are back. Industrial policy is back. After forty years of be ### The Rise of the West Was Based on Luck. That Has Run Out. [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-rise-of-the-west-was-based-on-luck-that-has-run-out - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2012-11-01 - Reading time: 23 min - Many Westerners fret about the relative decline of the West. For over 500 years, since the successful conquest of the Americas by Atlantic Ocean facing power, influence and culture. ### The Robot Bargain: How AI Will Save Ageing Nations From The Immigration Trap [1 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-robot-bargain-how-ai-will-save-ageing-nations-from-the-immigration-trap - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2026-02-01 - Reading time: 12 min - Microsoft's AI chief predicts virtually all white-collar tasks will be automated within 18 months. South Korea's fertility rate is 0.72. Japan sells more adult nappies than baby nappies. Tesla's Optim ### The Scramble For The Solar System: Why The Next Colonial Race Has Already Begun [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-scramble-for-the-solar-system-why-the-next-colonial-race-has-already-begun - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2026-02-11 - Reading time: 11 min - SpaceX is building Starship production lines at scale. China plans a permanent lunar base by 2030. NASA's Artemis programme aims to return Americans to the Moon. India, Japan, and the UAE have all sen ### The Silence Of The Scribes: How Every Civilisation That Controlled Speech Collapsed [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-silence-of-the-scribes-how-every-civilisation-that-controlled-speech-collapsed - Section: Society - Published: 2026-02-08 - Reading time: 10 min - In February 2026, India ordered social media platforms to remove content within three hours of a government request. The EU's Digital Services Act empowers bureaucrats to police online speech across 2 ### The Unintended Consequences of War: How the Loss of Young Men Transformed Women's Roles in Society and ushered in the Welfare State [8 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-unintended-consequences-of-war-how-the-loss-of-young-men-transformed-womens-roles-in-society-and-ushered-in-the-welfare-state - Section: Society - Published: 2020-06-01 - Reading time: 27 min - Throughout history, war has left an indelible mark on society, transforming the lives of those who survive and reshaping the roles of both men and women. While the devastating impact of conflict on th ### The Useful Idiots: Why Every Alliance Between the Left and Islamism Ends the Same Way [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-useful-idiots-why-every-alliance-between-the-left-and-islamism-ends-the-same-way - Section: Society - Published: 2026-05-14 - Reading time: 12 min - In February 2026, the Green Party overturned a century of Labour dominance in Manchester's Gorton and Denton by-election by courting a Muslim voting bloc. The Greens are unequivocally pro-trans. Their ### The War in Ukraine: Escalation, Miscalculation, and the Path to Peace - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-war-in-ukraine-escalation-miscalculation-and-the-path-to-peace - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2022-10-01 - Reading time: 20 min - The war in Ukraine, which began with Russia's invasion in February 2022, has brought the world to a dangerous crossroads. As the fighting continues, with devastating consequences for the people of Ukr ### The West’s romance with Free Trade is ending. Why? - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/the-wests-romance-with-free-trade-is-over-why - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2019-01-15 - Reading time: 9 min - Donald Trump is marching the US into a trade war with China. Markets are rattled. China is rattled. American companies are rattled. After 100 years of promoting free trade as a way of enriching everyo ### Vertical Farming: The Electrical Convergence of Power, Transport and Agriculture [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/vertical-farming-the-electrical-convergence-power-transport-and-agriculture - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2022-01-15 - Reading time: 8 min - The COP26 climate conference held in November 2021 reiterated the need to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 2050, and to stop the average global temperature from rising above 1.5 d ### What Does It Take To Get Europeans To Have A Revolution? [7 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/what-does-it-take-to-get-europeans-to-have-a-revolution - Section: Society - Published: 2012-05-01 - Reading time: 48 min - In an online article about the youth unemployment crisis in Europe and Africa HFN asked a question: “What are all these people going to do?” to which a reader responded: ### What Happens When China Becomes The Largest Economy In The World? - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/what-happens-when-china-becomes-the-largest-economy-in-the-world - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2014-04-01 - Reading time: 5 min - According to the OECD , China is due to overtake the US economy as the largest in the world in three years. By 2030 it predicts that China will account for 25% of the world’s economy. That is impressi ### What The History Of Immigration Teaches Us About Europe’s Future [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/what-the-history-of-immigration-teaches-us-about-europes-future - Section: Society - Published: 2013-02-01 - Reading time: 25 min - Immigration is a political hot potato. It is hard to talk about it in the West without appearing to be uncaring at best or racist at worst. That is a problem as it is an important subject which doesn' ### What Worked: Five Thousand Years of Evidence for How Civilisations Flourish [5 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/what-worked-five-thousand-years-of-evidence-for-how-civilisations-flourish - Section: Society - Published: 2026-05-01 - Reading time: 13 min - Most political positions are argued from ideology. History Future Now's are argued from evidence. Five thousand years of civilisational data — from Sumer to Singapore — points consistently in the same ### When the Servants Are Silicon: What History's Leisure Classes Reveal About the AI Age [4 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/when-the-servants-are-silicon-what-historys-leisure-classes-reveal-about-the-ai-age - Section: Society - Published: 2026-05-04 - Reading time: 15 min - Robots are not stealing jobs. They are replacing the unborn. When the Shadow Workforce handles survival, eight billion people become an aristocracy. Athens used that freedom to invent philosophy. Rome ### Where Are All The Jobs Going? Lessons From The First Industrial Revolution. And 150 Years Of Pain. [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/where-are-all-the-jobs-going-lessons-from-the-first-industrial-revolution-and-150-years-of-pain - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2012-06-01 - Reading time: 7 min - In a world which is seeing a simultaneous increase in the capabilities of robots and artificial intelligence with the capacity to take over many factory and service sector jobs, and a significant incr ### Who Are The Losers In The Energy Revolution? [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/who-are-the-losers-in-the-energy-revolution - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2012-08-01 - Reading time: 9 min - If you own shares in energy companies that do not focus on solar energy, you should consider selling now. Steal a march on people still half asleep, and start buying into energy companies that do focu ### Who Benefits From Our Increased Social Fragmentation? - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/who-benefits-from-our-increased-social-fragmentation - Section: Society - Published: 2015-03-01 - Reading time: 4 min - Cable television and satellite radio stations have been praised for providing greater choice and criticised for the fragmentation of our societies. New social media apps and websites allow this choice ### Who Guards The Guards? Bureaucracy, Empire, And The Eternal Struggle To Control The State [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/who-guards-the-guards-bureaucracy-empire-and-the-eternal-struggle-to-control-the-state - Section: Society - Published: 2026-02-14 - Reading time: 10 min - Elon Musk's DOGE initiative has identified $215 billion in US government savings and aims for $2 trillion. The EU's regulatory apparatus grows by thousands of pages each year. Every civilisation in hi ### Why Buying Cheap Imported Products Is More Expensive For Individuals And Not Just Society [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/why-buying-cheap-imported-products-is-more-expensive-for-individuals-and-not-just-society - Section: Jobs & Economy - Published: 2013-10-01 - Reading time: 10 min - Why do so many Western politicians and economists promote a trading system that increases Western unemployment levels and results in a gigantic transfer of wealth to the East every year? ### Why China Could Invade Taiwan – And Get Away With It [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/why-china-could-invade-taiwan-and-get-away-with-it - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2015-11-01 - Reading time: 6 min - The story of how the Republic of China became Taiwan and its relationship with mainland China is fascinating. How many people in the West know that Taiwan was once a Dutch colony and that it only beca ### Why Do We Need The Military? Securing Energy Supplies And Trade Routes [2 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/why-do-we-need-the-military-securing-energy-supplies-and-trade-routes - Section: Global Balance of Power - Published: 2012-07-01 - Reading time: 11 min - History Future Now examines our military expenditure and asks two basic questions: first, what is the purpose of the military? And second, if we did things differently would we need to spend so much o ### Why God Needs The Government: Multiculturalism Vs Monotheism - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/why-god-needs-the-government-multiculturalism-vs-monotheism - Section: Society - Published: 2014-12-01 - Reading time: 5 min - HFN looks at the worship of Aton, the first monotheistic religion over 3,350 years ago. We examine how changes in European attitudes towards Christianity today may make Islam more rigid in the future. ### Why Is Bisexuality Becoming Mainstream? - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/why-is-bisexuality-becoming-mainstream - Section: Society - Published: 2013-03-15 - Reading time: 12 min - Grey’s Anatomy, a TV series set in a Seattle hospital, has a senior female surgeon hopping into bed with a male colleague and then hopping into bed with a female colleague, whom she eventually marries ### Why Land Deals In Africa Could Make The Great Irish Famine A Minor Event [3 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/why-land-deals-in-africa-could-make-the-great-irish-famine-a-minor-event - Section: Natural Resources - Published: 2014-06-01 - Reading time: 9 min - Some of you may have noticed some land deals in Africa being announced in the press over the past few years. The stories invariably include China in the headlines “China Gives Up On Europe, Will Targe ### Why The Nuclear Family Needs To Die, In Order For Us To Live - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/why-the-nuclear-family-needs-to-die-in-order-for-us-to-live - Section: Society - Published: 2012-09-01 - Reading time: 7 min - The concept of a nuclear family is relatively recent – it is first mentioned in The Oxford English Dictionary in 1925 – and refers to a household that consists of a mother, father and their children. ### Why the Scissors Opened: Nine Hypotheses for the Gender Ideology Split [6 charts] - URL: https://www.historyfuturenow.com/articles/why-the-scissors-opened-nine-hypotheses-for-the-gender-ideology-split - Section: Society - Published: 2026-05-10 - Reading time: 25 min - The gender ideology gap runs 15 to 50 points across the developed world — yet it does not exist in the Middle East, India, Sub-Saharan Africa, or Indonesia. African women have the highest workforce pa