Data-driven analysis of the structural forces — demographic, technological, economic —
that will shape the next century.
Most political positions are argued from ideology. History Future Now's are argued from evidence. Five thousand years of civilisational data — from Sumer to Singapore — points consistently in the same…
China banned gallium and germanium exports in 2023 and most Western policymakers had never heard of either element. The energy transition depends on minerals most people cannot name, mined in places m…
Young women have moved sharply more liberal across the developed world. Young men have not — or have moved more conservative. The gap is historically unprecedented. The political and demographic conse…
Microsoft signed a deal to restart Three Mile Island for AI power. France generates 70% of its electricity from nuclear at half Germany's carbon intensity. China is building 150 reactors. The atom is…
The US spent more on interest payments than on defence in 2024 for the first time in history. Spain defaulted six times between 1557 and 1647. France's debt triggered the Revolution. The pattern is al…
The average house in England costs 7.7 times the median salary. In Seoul, a young couple saves for 18 years to buy a flat. Every city with extreme housing costs has a fertility rate below 1.5. This is…
Every great economy in history was built behind tariff walls. Britain, America, Germany, Japan, South Korea, China — all protected domestic industry while it grew, then preached free trade once domina…
The Netherlands and Denmark are the two best-documented case studies on the fiscal and social costs of immigration in Europe. Both are small, wealthy, high-trust welfare states with meticulous statist…
The gender ideology gap runs 15 to 50 points across the developed world — yet it does not exist in the Middle East, India, Sub-Saharan Africa, or Indonesia. African women have the highest workforce pa…
Britain teaches its children a remarkably narrow slice of history — the Tudors, the World Wars, and the Holocaust — and then wonders why adults reach for the same historical analogies every time. The…
Britain teaches its children a remarkably narrow slice of history — the Tudors, the World Wars, and the Holocaust — and then wonders why adults reach for the same historical analogies every time. The…
The gender ideology gap runs 15 to 50 points across the developed world — yet it does not exist in the Middle East, India, Sub-Saharan Africa, or Indonesia. African women have the highest workforce pa…
Guilt societies are ruled by an internal judge; shame societies by the eye of the crowd. The difference shapes corruption, rule of law, and how civilisations understand each other — when they meet, th…
Every great economy in history was built behind tariff walls. Britain, America, Germany, Japan, South Korea, China — all protected domestic industry while it grew, then preached free trade once domina…
The Netherlands and Denmark are the two best-documented case studies on the fiscal and social costs of immigration in Europe. Both are small, wealthy, high-trust welfare states with meticulous statist…
Most political positions are argued from ideology. History Future Now's are argued from evidence. Five thousand years of civilisational data — from Sumer to Singapore — points consistently in the same…
Robots are not stealing jobs. They are replacing the unborn. When the Shadow Workforce handles survival, eight billion people become an aristocracy. Athens used that freedom to invent philosophy. Rome…
Microsoft signed a deal to restart Three Mile Island for AI power. France generates 70% of its electricity from nuclear at half Germany's carbon intensity. China is building 150 reactors. The atom is…
The US spent more on interest payments than on defence in 2024 for the first time in history. Spain defaulted six times between 1557 and 1647. France's debt triggered the Revolution. The pattern is al…
Trust in government, media, science, and the judiciary is at historic lows across the Western world. This is not a passing mood. It is the rational response of electorates who have watched their democ…
Young women have moved sharply more liberal across the developed world. Young men have not — or have moved more conservative. The gap is historically unprecedented. The political and demographic conse…
Water is the one resource for which there is no substitute. Every major civilisation was built on water management — Mesopotamia's canals, Egypt's Nile, Rome's aqueducts. And every civilisation that l…
The average house in England costs 7.7 times the median salary. In Seoul, a young couple saves for 18 years to buy a flat. Every city with extreme housing costs has a fertility rate below 1.5. This is…
China banned gallium and germanium exports in 2023 and most Western policymakers had never heard of either element. The energy transition depends on minerals most people cannot name, mined in places m…
Britain has undergone one of the most rapid peacetime demographic transformations in European history. It was not planned. It emerged from a sequence of policy decisions — and its long-term trajectory…
In a single generation, the West gave away the industrial monopoly it had held for two centuries. From the rust belts of the Midlands to the boomtowns of Guangdong, this is the story of the Great Offs…
Between them, European and East Asian civilisations built virtually everything that defines the modern world — the scientific method, industrial manufacturing, semiconductors, the internet, modern med…
For five thousand years, every successful civilisation tightly controlled who could enter, settle, and become a citizen. Then, in the space of a single generation, the West decided this was bigotry. T…
For five thousand years, if you could not write, you hired a scribe. If you could not code, you hired a developer. AI has just made everyone literate in the digital scribal arts — coding, design, film…
In 1932, Germany spent less than 1% of GDP on its military. By 1939, that figure was 23%. The transformation took just seven years. Today, Europe is embarking on the fastest rearmament since the Cold…
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Energy, food, water, land — the physical foundations that every civilisation depends on.
If you own shares in energy companies that do not focus on solar energy, you should consider selling now. Steal a march on people still half asleep, and start b…
Some of you may have noticed some land deals in Africa being announced in the press over the past few years. The stories invariably include China in the headlin…
The COP26 climate conference held in November 2021 reiterated the need to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 2050, and to stop the average gl…
How nations rise, compete, and decline — from colonial empires to modern China.
The story of how the Republic of China became Taiwan and its relationship with mainland China is fascinating. How many people in the West know that Taiwan was o…
History Future Now examines our military expenditure and asks two basic questions: first, what is the purpose of the military? And second, if we did things diff…
According to the OECD , China is due to overtake the US economy as the largest in the world in three years. By 2030 it predicts that China will account for 25%…
Automation, trade, debt, and the future of work in an age of intelligent machines.
Why do so many Western politicians and economists promote a trading system that increases Western unemployment levels and results in a gigantic transfer of weal…
In a world which is seeing a simultaneous increase in the capabilities of robots and artificial intelligence with the capacity to take over many factory and ser…
In February 2026, the United States signed a trade deal with Taiwan that included $250 billion in semiconductor investment pledges. Tariffs are back. Industrial…
Democracy, religion, migration, identity — the human systems that bind us together.
The gender ideology gap runs 15 to 50 points across the developed world — yet it does not exist in the Middle East, India, Sub-Saharan Africa, or Indonesia. Afr…
Cable television and satellite radio stations have been praised for providing greater choice and criticised for the fragmentation of our societies. New social m…
Elon Musk's DOGE initiative has identified $215 billion in US government savings and aims for $2 trillion. The EU's regulatory apparatus grows by thousands of p…